Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 85.903879 95.307517 104.900528 115.393773 126.523981 137.954094 150.555447
2026-02-08 68.652019 82.317453 96.905720 113.529410 131.841665 151.299335 173.438173
2026-02-15 57.093213 73.748884 92.298547 114.219022 139.155571 166.401334 198.183974
2026-02-22 49.847705 68.956637 91.062573 118.014266 149.501531 184.682290 226.526510
2026-03-01 42.982451 63.677345 88.522025 119.713081 157.044335 199.586096 251.041297
2026-03-08 36.227265 57.667518 84.400999 118.943934 161.250273 210.354429 270.661182
2026-03-15 31.763108 54.018484 82.728808 120.762647 168.256351 224.220368 293.806103
2026-03-22 28.865278 52.089251 82.956226 124.721950 177.720692 240.943981 320.338502
2026-03-29 25.815224 49.569117 82.120062 127.101382 185.080252 255.063175 343.773099
2026-04-05 23.491658 47.815335 82.096374 130.367607 193.444544 270.357495 368.633144
2026-04-12 20.984449 45.484287 81.052436 132.112330 199.759527 283.080736 390.383016
2026-04-19 16.812506 40.000352 75.132843 126.941725 196.881383 284.196474 397.814919
2026-04-26 13.708881 35.876857 70.912897 123.916911 196.724463 288.742459 409.600989
2026-05-03 11.489171 32.959900 68.256350 122.894073 199.098715 296.435805 425.300347
2026-05-10 10.023745 31.211969 67.250533 124.119231 204.433618 307.903226 445.761471
2026-05-17 9.310199 30.830317 68.357032 128.390889 213.922892 324.772437 473.113153
2026-05-24 8.247217 29.565948 67.924792 130.330103 220.189694 337.481443 495.265402
2026-05-31 6.875361 27.381462 65.790658 129.597755 222.675130 345.218092 511.101280
2026-06-07 6.072344 26.329103 65.480786 131.559793 228.887018 357.841156 533.203974
2026-06-14 5.656870 26.136933 66.634674 135.760281 238.268349 374.689222 560.795795
2026-06-21 5.064138 25.384753 66.730161 138.282303 245.263238 388.395055 584.398657
2026-06-28 4.640133 24.993559 67.432452 141.732489 253.581656 403.883581 610.347279
2026-07-05 4.079808 24.102073 67.145099 143.574893 259.579397 416.284551 632.343478